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SHANGHAI, Dec 6 (Reuters) - The yuan was little
changed on Friday against the dollar, but is headed for its tenth straight
weekly loss amid concerns that new tariff threatened by
President-elect Donald Trump will heighten strains on the
struggling Chinese economy.
Analysts expect the dollar to remain firm as Trump's policies are expected to drive
up U.S. inflation, but they believe Beijing will prevent the yuan from falling too much.
"We anticipate some depreciation pressure in an expected strong dollar environment,"
Lynn Song, Greater China chief economist at ING, said in a note.


However, "we don't expect an intentional large-scale depreciation and think the yuan will remain a low-volatility currency vis-à-vis most other Asian currencies." The yuan was
changing hands at 7.2549 per dollar around midday, little
moved from the previous close.
Although the currency has rebounded from a one-year low of 7.2996 hit on Tuesday,
it is poised to register its longest weekly losing streak since 2018.
The dollar index fell to one-week low overnight and "the USD's consolidation should unwind the upside pressure building" in the yuan, aided by ongoing attempts by China's central
bank to restrain its decline, said Alvin Tan, strategist at RBC
Capital Markets.

Recent data has painted a mixed picture of China's economic recovery, with manufacturing activities improving, but property sales in many Chinese cities remaining weak.
China's "economic landscape is unarguably dull, and the absence of excitement is perhaps the most salient feature," said John Browning, managing director of BANDS
Financial.
He doesn't expect huge stimulus to be announced during next week's Central
Economic Work Conference, as "Beijing's largesse will be reserved until after Trump is restored to the White House and the trade war formally begins." Top policymakers will
gather at the conference to agree on major economic goals for next year.


But the target for 2025 growth, one of the most closely-watched indicators globally for clues of Beijing's
near-term policy intentions, likely will not be officially announced until an annual parliament meeting
in March. During Trump's first term as president, the yuan weakened about 5% against the dollar
after the initial round of U.S.
tariffs on Chinese goods in 2018, and fell another 1.5% a year later
when trade tensions escalated. Growth worries and
expectations of further monetary easing by Beijing pushed China's 10-year treasury
yields below 2% to record lows this week, worsening the yield disadvantage against the
U.S., and exerting downward pressure on the yuan.
ING's Song expects the onshore yuan to move within a band between 7.00-7.40 per dollar, but could fall further to 7.50 "if tariffs come in earlier or more aggressive than our forecasts."
LEVELS AT 03:47 GMT GMT INSTRUME CURRENT UP/DOWN( % CHANGE DAY'S DAY'S
LOW NT vs USD -) VS.

YR-TO-DATE HIGH PREVIOUS CLOSE % Spot 7.255 0.09 -2.11
7.2518 7.2675 yuan CNY=CFX S Offshore 7.2615 0.03 -1.87 7.2574 7.2733 yuan spot (Reporting by Shanghai newsroom; Editing by Kim Coghill)

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